The phrase "five years of experience" is a common requirement in job postings. While it might seem like a safe way to screen candidates, this vague standard often does more harm than good.
Past experience does not predict future performance. In fact, according to a large study analyzing 81 recruitment cases, the correlation between past experience and future performance is very low - just 0.06.* Despite this, many still view prior experience as one of the most important prerequisites for a job.
Simply stating “five years of experience” without context is not helpful. It doesn’t clarify what that experience should entail or what specific skills and outcomes you value.
Length of experience doesn’t guarantee skill. Someone with one year of concentrated, hands-on work might outperform a candidate with five years of less meaningful experience.
Even if someone has worked in a comparable position, their experience might not fully translate due to differences in company culture, processes, or tools.
If you still want to use experience as a predictor of success, here’s how to make it work:
Describe the top three tasks for the job with specificity. Use the formula:
For example: Manage and deliver monthly financial reports (What) using [specific software] (How) for department heads (Who), covering budgets for 5 key projects (How many), ensuring 100% accuracy and meeting deadlines (Success criteria).
Determine which specific skills or experiences are truly essential for performing these tasks successfully. Focus on technical expertise, problem-solving ability, or leadership experience that directly impacts outcomes.
In your job ad, explain what you expect the candidate to achieve during their initial months on the job. This approach gives both you and the candidate a clear understanding of the role and its immediate priorities.
When you move beyond vague requirements like “five years of experience” and focus on specific, results-driven criteria:
By clarifying your expectations and shifting your focus to results and skills, you’ll build better teams - without the guesswork.
*Van Iddekinge, C., Arnold, J., Frieder, R., & Roth, P. (2019): “A meta-analysis of criterion-related validity of prehire work experiences” Personnel Psychology, 72, 571-598. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/peps.12335